Question: I really like the charts you shared on case/hospitalization/death trends in the USA and NYS the other day. Would you please do them for Virginia?
Answer: Sure thing! Please see Figure 1 below and know that you can always find updated Virginia information at covidtracking.com and the Virginia Department of Health. As Figure 1 shows, Virginia is on the right path (and still early into that right path after a long period of plateau at a relatively high level of transmission):
- Testing has again been increasing after plateauing in August and declining for the first half of September (we like to see testing increase!)
- Test positivity rate (rolling 7-day average) has been declining since mid-September and got below the 5% threshold on 24 September. At 4.2%, it’s currently the lowest it has ever been
- Cases have finally been on the decline since having virtually plateaued from mid-July through mid-September. 7-day rolling average of cases (779) is the lowest it’s been since 13 July.
- Hospitalizations have been slowly declining since their most recent peak in early August.
- Deaths have recently increased (7-day rolling average of 22/day). There does seem to be a reporting “fix” on 15 September that created a big bump, but deaths since then have also been higher than recent months.
- Case fatality rate has hovered slightly above 2% (currently 2.2%) since mid-August.
Figure 1. Virginia
