{"id":84,"date":"2020-10-25T22:08:00","date_gmt":"2020-10-25T22:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/?p=84"},"modified":"2020-11-08T22:13:18","modified_gmt":"2020-11-08T22:13:18","slug":"whats-the-dose-response-relationship-to-disease-severity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/?p=84","title":{"rendered":"What&#8217;s the dose-response relationship to disease severity?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"0e0d\"><strong>Question:<\/strong>&nbsp;What\u2019s the latest research on dose response for exposure to COVID-19 and what can it tell us about our risk choices?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"de34\"><strong>Answer:<\/strong>&nbsp;We know that the more virus a person is exposed to, the higher their risk of being infected (for more background, see&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/madeleinefabic.medium.com\/covid-19-questions-and-answers-ee65d2f749e7\">Q&amp;A of 5\/20<\/a>&nbsp;#Viral Load,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/madeleinefabic.medium.com\/covid-19-questions-and-answers-ee65d2f749e7\">Q&amp;A of 5\/12<\/a>&nbsp;#Risk). This is a big reason why public health experts recommend keeping interactions where social distancing isn\u2019t possible as brief as possible (&lt;15 minutes).&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/mmwr\/volumes\/69\/wr\/mm6943e1.htm?s_cid=mm6943e1_w\">Findings published last week<\/a>&nbsp;in CDC\u2019s&nbsp;<em>MMWR<\/em>&nbsp;also indicate that multiple brief exposures over 24 hours that cumulate in exposure time of 15+ minutes can result in infection, hence CDC\u2019s recent \u201cclose contact\u201d definition change (discussed in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/madeleinefabic.medium.com\/covid-19-questions-and-answers-updated-daily-part-2-6c6708931c29\">Q&amp;A of 10\/22<\/a>&nbsp;#Incubation). It\u2019s also why mask wearing is so key! And why outdoors is safer than indoors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"a4c6\">When it comes to the relationship between initial exposure dose and disease outcome, we are far less certain as the science is still emerging. Some scientists have hypothesized that lower initial exposure dose could be an important factor for asymptomatic infection. And this perspective, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nejm.org\/doi\/full\/10.1056\/NEJMp2026913\">Facial Masking for Covid-19 \u2014 Potential for \u201cVariolation\u201d as We Await a Vaccine<\/a>,\u201d published in the&nbsp;<em>New England Journal of Medicine<\/em>&nbsp;last month hypothesizes that by limiting initial exposure dose, mask wearing could \u201creduce the severity of disease and ensure that a greater proportion of new infections are asymptomatic.\u201d Here are a few interesting findings, which point to the potential of a relationship between exposure dose and disease outcome:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>This article, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7293836\/\">Inoculum at the time of SARS-CoV-2 exposure and risk of disease severity<\/a>\u201d published in August in the&nbsp;<em>International Journal of Infectious Disease<\/em>&nbsp;concluded that \u201ca greater viral inoculum at the time of SARS-CoV-2 exposure might determine a higher risk of severe COVID-19.\u201d<\/li><li>This article, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7476563\/\">Factors associated with asymptomatic infection in health-care workers with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection in Wuhan<\/a>\u201d published last month in&nbsp;<em>Clinical Microbiology and Infection<\/em>&nbsp;concluded that healthcare workers \u201cwho performed tracheal intubation or extubation were most likely to develop related symptoms, whereas those taking aggressive measures, including consistent use of N95 masks and eye protection, tended to be asymptomatic cases.\u201d These findings indicate that one reason for asymptomatic infection is that the infecting dose is smaller.<\/li><li>This article, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lanres\/article\/PIIS2213-2600(20)30354-4\/fulltext\">SARS-CoV-2 viral load predicts COVID-19 mortality<\/a>,\u201d published in&nbsp;<em>Lancet<\/em>&nbsp;in August, found a significant independent relationship between higher viral load and increased risk of mortality. Here, viral load does not necessarily equate with initial exposure dose, so we can\u2019t draw conclusions on that front, but nonetheless, it is in keeping with other pieces of evidence we\u2019re seeing on the dose-response relationship.<\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Question:&nbsp;What\u2019s the latest research on dose response for exposure to COVID-19 and what can it tell us about our risk choices? Answer:&nbsp;We know that the more virus a person is exposed to, the higher their risk of being infected (for more background, see&nbsp;Q&amp;A of 5\/20&nbsp;#Viral Load,&nbsp;Q&amp;A of 5\/12&nbsp;#Risk). This is a big reason why public [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":86,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[40,38,22],"tags":[39],"class_list":["post-84","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-disease-severity","category-immunity","category-mortality","tag-infectious-dose","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/covidqanda.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/October-25.jpg?fit=318%2C159&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=84"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84\/revisions\/88"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/86"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=84"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=84"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=84"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}