{"id":306,"date":"2020-07-30T02:35:00","date_gmt":"2020-07-30T02:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/?p=306"},"modified":"2020-11-09T02:38:21","modified_gmt":"2020-11-09T02:38:21","slug":"which-states-meet-the-american-federation-of-teachers-school-reopening-criteria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/?p=306","title":{"rendered":"Which states meet the American Federation of Teacher’s school reopening criteria?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Question: <\/strong>I was just reading in Politico<\/em><\/a> that the president of the American Federation of Teachers is warning that teacher strikes may be coming to protest unsafe working conditions if schools reopen in states where infections are surging. According to the article, \u201cThe union, which represents 1.7 million educators in the United States, adopted a resolution this month that says schools should only open in places where the average daily community infection rate among those tested for the coronavirus is below 5 percent and the transmission rate is below 1 percent.\u201d Which states meet this criteria and where can I find these state-by-state data?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Answer: <\/strong>These criteria are written slightly differently than I usually see them. Put another way, the first indicator, \u201caverage daily community infection rate among those tested for the coronavirus is below 5 percent,\u201d is \u201caverage test positivity rate <5%\u201d and here I would expect the average to be the 7-day rolling average. We can get these data directly from covidtracking.com<\/a> or we can use this data visualization tool from Johns Hopkins<\/a>, which pulls data from covidtracking.com. When it comes to the second indicator, \u201ctransmission rate is below 1 percent,\u201d this is the reproduction rate \u2014 R0 \u2014 and it is a measure of the average number of people an infectious person infects. Anything above 1 (not 1% as stated in Politico) <\/em>is an indication that the virus spread is growing rather than contracting. R0 is a relatively simple concept, but it is challenging to measure and requires mathematical modeling, as described by this 2019 paper from Emerging Infectious Disease<\/em><\/a>. <\/em>RT.live<\/a> (a \u201cpublic service\u201d site run by the cofounders of Instagram) uses case count and test positivity rate data from covidtracking.com<\/a> to model R0 by state (Figure 1)<\/strong>. For ease of reference, I made a table that shows which states meet the test positivity rate and R0 criteria (Table 1)<\/strong>.As of July 29, only 6 states meet the American Federation of Teachers\u2019 criteria for reopening \u2014 Delaware, Maine, Michigan, New York, Ohio, and Vermont.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Figure 1. Reproduction Rate by State <\/strong>(from RT.Live<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Table 1. Reopening by State<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Question: I was just reading in Politico that the president of the American Federation of Teachers is warning that teacher strikes may be coming to protest unsafe working conditions if schools reopen in states where infections are surging. According to the article, \u201cThe union, which represents 1.7 million educators in the United States, adopted a resolution this month that […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":307,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[50,93,13],"tags":[106,14],"class_list":["post-306","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-guidelines","category-models","category-school","tag-r0","tag-reopening","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/covidqanda.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/July-30.png?fit=2520%2C1189&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=306"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":308,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306\/revisions\/308"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/307"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=306"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=306"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=306"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}