{"id":107,"date":"2020-10-18T22:35:00","date_gmt":"2020-10-18T22:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/?p=107"},"modified":"2020-11-08T22:37:33","modified_gmt":"2020-11-08T22:37:33","slug":"how-are-things-looking-in-new-york-and-elsewhere","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/?p=107","title":{"rendered":"How are things looking in New York and elsewhere?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Question:<\/strong> How are things looking in New York and elsewhere?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Answer: <\/strong>You\u2019ve probably been reading about how much of the US is witnessing an upswing in COVID cases and hospitalizations. It\u2019s been about a month since we looked at the trends, so let\u2019s take another peek. All of the numbers I\u2019ve written herein are 7-day rolling averages; data are from covidtracking.com<\/a>. I sometimes run numbers for Texas and Kentucky, but didn\u2019t get around to it this morning. If you want to see those, just let me know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Figure 1. USA<\/strong>: It\u2019s bad. Approaching July peaks of daily cases (55K new cases\/day); hospitalizations are on the rise (36K currently hospitalized); test positivity rate is above the 5% threshold (5.3%); and daily deaths are numbering 700. The only positive I see is that testing continues to increase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Figure 2. NYS<\/strong>: After months of keeping transmission rates very low, New York is seeing an increase in the spread of COVID with new daily cases (1.4K) as high as late May; number currently hospitalized (900) the highest since the beginning of July and daily deaths (10) the highest since late July. Test positivity rate (1.1%) is still low, but New York needs to act quickly to contain further spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Figure 3. DC: <\/strong>After experiencing a downward trend in cases and hospitalization, DC witnessed an uptick earlier this month that (fingers crossed) seems to be squelched.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Figure 4. Maryland:<\/strong> Maryland is again experiencing an uptick in cases and hospitalizations with daily new cases (600) as high as they were in mid-September and number currently hospitalized (400) as high as late-August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Figure 5. Virginia: <\/strong>Virginia is also trending in the wrong direction with daily cases as high as they\u2019ve ever been (~1,050\/day) and current hospitalizations on the rise (~1000). Test positivity is above the 5% threshold (e.g. widespread community transmission not fully picked up by tests).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Figure 6. Tennessee: <\/strong>Perhaps worst of this set of five states+district, Tennessee\u2019s daily cases (1.9K) are as high as early August and numbers currently hospitalized (1.2K) are as high as mid-August. Daily test numbers have been relatively stagnant and test positivity (8.2%) is as high as early August. Meanwhile, unlike the other states in this set where deaths have not (yet) risen, daily deaths in Tennessee (21) are generally trending up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Figure 1. USA<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 2. NYS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 3. DC<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 4. Maryland<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 5. Virginia<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 6. Tennessee<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Image<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Question: How are things looking in New York and elsewhere? Answer: You\u2019ve probably been reading about how much of the US is witnessing an upswing in COVID cases and hospitalizations. It\u2019s been about a month since we looked at the trends, so let\u2019s take another peek. All of the numbers I\u2019ve written herein are 7-day rolling averages; […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":108,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[47,46],"tags":[52,55,53,54,51,57,56],"class_list":["post-107","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-states","category-trends","tag-kentucky","tag-maryland","tag-new-york","tag-tennessee","tag-texas","tag-usa","tag-virginia","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/covidqanda.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/October-18.png?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=107"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":109,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107\/revisions\/109"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/108"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=107"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=107"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/covidqanda.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=107"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}